{"id":1377,"date":"2019-01-01T15:04:54","date_gmt":"2019-01-01T15:04:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/?p=1377"},"modified":"2020-02-06T14:59:10","modified_gmt":"2020-02-06T14:59:10","slug":"iranian-mullahs-lock-on-power-is-now-shakier-than-ever","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/?p=1377","title":{"rendered":"Iranian mullahs\u2019 lock on power is now shakier than ever"},"content":{"rendered":"

January 1, 2019 \u2013 Nwe York Post – By\u00a0Alireza Nader:<\/span>\u00a0A year ago, Iranians poured into their streets to\u00a0denounce \u00adSupreme Leader Ali Khamenei\u00a0and call for an end to his brutal \u00adregime. Protests have continued \u00adunabated since, though these are smaller in number and less visible to foreign \u00admedia.<\/p>\n

The Tehran regime\u2019s grip on power is no firmer now than it was then. Still entrenched and viciously clinging to life, the Islamic Republic is nevertheless more vulnerable than it has ever been since the 1979 revolution.<\/p>\n

Today, unpaid factory workers, teachers, farmers and truck drivers are some of the most organized and motivated anti-regime forces. The southwestern city of Ahvaz experienced anti-regime labor protests last month. Truck drivers were also on nationwide strikes for much of 2018, blocking major roadways and access to gas stations over low pay and rising tolls.<\/p>\n

Farmers in Isfahan, in central Iran, have turned their backs against regime clerics during Friday prayers and chanted: \u201cOur back to the enemy, our faces to our nation.\u201d Another favorite slogan: \u201cThey say our enemy is America, when the real enemy is right here\u201d \u2014 meaning the mullahs. Meanwhile, many Iranian women have been shedding the compulsory hijab in public, a gesture that was unthinkable even two years ago.<\/p>\n

The sources of popular anger vary, from water shortages to economic collapse to frustration with social restrictions. Most important, recent years disabused Iranians of the illusion of \u201creform\u201d peddled by so-called moderates like President Hassan Rouhani. The people have learned that such rhetoric only masks the country\u2019s environmental, economic and social devastation \u00adunder the mullahs.<\/p>\n

The Islamic Republic\u2019s demise has been predicted many times, of course. Iran\u2019s theocracy has survived tough challenges before, from the Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s to the massive Green uprising that followed 2009\u2019s fraudulent presidential \u201celection.\u201d But today the \u00adregime confronts a crisis without precedent, owing to the sheer breadth of social discontent.<\/p>\n

Even insiders such as former President Mahmoud \u00adAhmadinejad believe that the \u00adIslamic Republic may soon face a complete revolution.<\/p>\n

Senior cleric Ayatollah Abdollah Javadi-Amoli recently expressed fears of a popular revolt that \u201cwill push us\u201d \u2014 that is, the clergy \u2014 \u201cinto the sea.\u201d Faezeh Hashemi, the \u201cmoderate\u201d daughter of one of the regime\u2019s founders, has described the \u00adIslamic Republic as a \u201cfailed\u201d theocratic system.<\/p>\n

Still, the Islamic Republic enjoys a core base of support among the population, sustained with ideological indoctrination and financial and political \u00adpatronage.<\/p>\n

Moreover, Khamenei, the supreme leader, still retains control over the fearsome security apparatus, including the Revolutionary Guards and the basij paramilitary forces. The people are outgunned, and while it is ultimately up to them to bring fundamental change to Iran, Washington has an important role to play.<\/p>\n

Instead of seeking to tweak the Islamic Republic\u2019s behavior, the US should strongly and unequivocally support the Iranian people\u2019s right to self-determination. President Trump shouldn\u2019t engage the regime diplomatically, or lift sanctions, until the mullahs permit peaceful demonstrations and \u00adrespect the right to organize political parties that favor a free, secular and democratic Iran.<\/p>\n

The US should also focus on combatting the regime\u2019s propaganda machine by creating new Persian-language media that \u00adbypass the aging and ineffective Voice of America and Radio Farda, US-taxpayer-funded outlets that too often broadcast the regime\u2019s worldview to Iran.<\/p>\n

Private TV broadcasts, such as the enormously popular Manoto TV based in London, can be a powerful tool in strengthening US interests in Iran.<\/p>\n

Likewise, America should provide moral and material assistance to domestic forces combatting the regime. Washington should pursue some of the same policies that proved successful in defeating Communism during the Cold War, such as clandestine aid to Solidarity in Poland.<\/p>\n

The Islamic Republic will never change for the better. The Iranian people are awake to this reality. Whatever the wisdom of Trump\u2019s recent Syria pullout, America and its interests in the region will never be safe until Khamenei\u2019s \u00adregime is gone. Washington\u2019s best allies are the Iranians bravely fighting injustice every day.<\/p>\n

Alireza Nader is founder and CEO of New Iran, a nonprofit and nonpartisan advocacy organization in Washington<\/em><\/p>\n

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January 1, 2019 \u2013 Nwe York Post – By\u00a0Alireza Nader:\u00a0A year ago, Iranians poured into their streets to\u00a0denounce \u00adSupreme Leader Ali Khamenei\u00a0and call for an end to his brutal \u00adregime.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[231,62,375],"class_list":["post-1377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-ali-khamenei","tag-ayatollah-ali-khamenei","tag-iran-protests"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1377","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1377"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1377\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1541,"href":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1377\/revisions\/1541"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1377"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1377"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.iransos.com\/en\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1377"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}